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Economics
By now, followers of my rants understand that price inflation, which clearly is running well over 10% per year ("Who you gonna believe," asks WhirlyBen Bernanke, "Me or your own lying eyes?"), is a monetary symptom, not an independent phenomenon. It happens because the foxes, whom we put in charge of our hen house, are busy gorging themselves on our chickens. They simply print money, whether on paper or electrons. Debit cash, credit debt. Our debt. Their cash.
When they started to get really out of control with their money creation scheme, which is a crime called counterfeiting if you or I do it, they simply stopped telling us about how much money they were creating ("M3," the most useful measure of the money supply), but you can get a private assessment of this key figure, which is running 18% today, at http://www.nowandfutures.com/key_stats.html .
Today, they claim that inflation is running only 2-3%. Who you gonna believe - them or or your own lying eyes?
Inflation, housing, jobs, debt trade deficit - they all are much worse than they tell you. So, naturally, what is the government about to do about it? Stop telling us, of course! The national debt keeps growing, fueled by the insane war in the Middle East. What's going to cut it? We don't have any manufacturing base left in America.
Those interest rate cuts you keep hearing about? They help the bankers, not us. You won't see them. They keep the banks from going under, where they belong.
Market manipulation saves them, not us.
They keep crowing about how they are fixing things. What they are doing is making them worse, of course. Guaranteeing that Depression II will make Depression I look like a walk in the park. That means war, of course, so they can distract us from what they have done and have something else to blame. That means more privation, of course, and more of our children dead.
You know by now that your house has declined in value. Up to 70%, in some parts of the country. Overall, it still looks like at least a 90% total decline in American real estate value to me, measured from a couple years ago until a couple years from now - 50% from inflation and 40% from nominal price declines.
There is at least a 25% decline already built into the inflation rate during the next two years, just like the two years we just finished...four years means a 50% decline from inflation alone, with prices not moving down at all. But, move down they have and move down more, they will. All we need is another 10-20% decline on top of the 50% erosion in value caused by inflation and real estate will hit the levels of Depression I, with properties worth ten cents on the dollar.
Imagine: if only we had sold out and rented two years ago.....putting the proceeds into gold or silver, already we would be up 100% on the investment and saved the 30-40% decline in our existing property values.
In other words, if your place was worth $1 million in 2005 and you had sold, today you would have over $2 million in shiny metal, be renting an even more palatial residence for a nominal amount and, two years from now, you could buy back your old place for, perhaps, $400k, paid for from your $4 million stash. Net result: You have your same house and $3.5 million that you otherwise would not have had - simply because real estate declined by a total of 90% in that time period. Of course, bread will cost $6 per loaf, but $3.5 million is a lot of bread.
Instead, most of us traded our home equity for cars and trips and boats and other things. Now we are maxing out our credit cards, simply to put food on the table, while the value of our homes drops beneath what we owe on them. Next, we sell our things to pay for the food. This is just how Depression I progressed.
Meanwhile, our own food is being bid up by international forces as the dollar dwindles in significance. Soon, we will have to choose between mortgage payments and dinner for the kids. This, too, is how Depression I progressed. This is precisely how one becomes homeless.
If the normal person was capable of doing the math or, even, believing folks like thee and me, there would be blood in the streets tonight. Just as there should be, with politicians, plutocrats, bankers, media moguls and Neocons aplenty hanging from lamp poles all across America. But the normal person is too busy watching Jeopardy tonight. Tomorrow will bring a different story.
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Greenfloyd, you sure paint a picture of doom and gloom. What's your spoonful of sugar to help the medicine go down cure all? I don't doubt the logic of your comments but remain more optimistic about the economy than your representations. The upside is what recession/depression has been accompanied with interest rates so low? That's my silver lining. The media needs to focus more on the positives in this economy, not the doom and gloom negatives. People, even your "normal person" reference, like Chicken Little, tend to believe what they hear, not what they should reason. The media is not the cure all, but sure could expand on the positives that are out there. Thanks AJ for your new web face and front page upbeat articles blended with the negatives.
txrxyrd, Short of doing away with the privately-owned Federal Reserve and their fiat money system...I don't know of any cure all I could suggest. We have been sold out by the selfish greed of the globalist boot-licking politicians. They seek to destroy our economy through free-trade, immigration amnesty and liberal handouts...Why? So that they can offer their solution.."The North American Union" of our U.S.A., Mexico, and Canada. A situation that would dissolve our sovereignty and any hope of a free world! To shed a regretfully disappointing light on your silver lining, please read this article of the Federal Reserve Chairman's statements to the Senate Banking Committee last Thursday...http://www.infowars.com/?p=303
txrxyrd
I was wondering why you feel that artificially low interest rates are a positive thing for the economy. Are you a debtor or speculator? As a saver, I feel that low interest rates are punitive and I wonder why we have the lowest rates of my lifetime as the largest segment of the population prepares for retirement. I believe the most affluent generation in history is being robbed of their life savings. By penalizing savers, they are herded into the stock market for decent returns, but in the stock market, most are easily robbed by the casino operators, so now into the bond market creating a new bubble and when that bursts, where will all the money have gone?
Just think of how different things would have turned out if the interests rates were not set by the Fed, how many boomers would hold CD's with a healthy rate, in banks competing to attract the funds, increasing the balance sheets of the more competitive banks and allowing those banks to lend judiciously within their own communities.
On the contrary, I feel that low interest rates reward debtors & speculators, and whenever you reward behavior, you get more of it. But what do I know, anyway. I never did get that Ivy League economics degree.